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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
3 - 1
Korona Kielce

Bichakhchyan (45+6'), Gorgon (66'), Loncar (81')
Grosicki (43'), Zahovic (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nono (36' pen.)
Remacle (61'), Kuzera (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawKorona Kielce
55.91% (0.361 0.36) 22.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 21.37% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.17% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (0.13200000000001 0.13)15.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.242 0.24)45.07% (-0.241 -0.24)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.249 -0.25)35.02% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (-0.261 -0.26)71.76% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 55.9%
    Korona Kielce 21.37%
    Draw 22.73%
Pogon SzczecinDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 55.9%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Slask Wroclaw
Wednesday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Gent
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gent 5-0 Szczecin
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, August 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Gornik
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 2-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Slask Wroclaw
Monday, July 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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