Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
55.91% ( 0.36) | 22.73% ( -0.09) | 21.37% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( 0.03) | 44.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.02) | 67.17% ( -0.02) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( 0.13) | 15.86% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.94% ( 0.24) | 45.07% ( -0.24) |
Korona Kielce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( -0.25) | 35.02% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% ( -0.26) | 71.76% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 21.37% |
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