Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
Bartkowski (30'), Szmyt (63'), Stavropoulos (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Lech Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result |
| Warta Poznan | Draw | Lech Poznan |
27.36% ( -0.23) | 26.86% ( -0.45) | 45.79% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 1.12) |
| 43.72% ( 1.52) | 56.28% ( -1.51) |
| 22.68% ( 1.21) | 77.32% ( -1.21) |
| 63.98% ( 0.64) | 36.02% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.2% ( 0.65) | 72.8% ( -0.64) |
| 75.47% ( 1.02) | 24.53% ( -1.01) |
