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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Imaz (27'), Naranjo (45+8'), Pululu (46')
Nene (32'), Kupisz (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'), Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
40.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 25.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 33.5% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.28% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)58.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.056000000000004 0.06)64.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.56%
    Radomiak Radom 33.5%
    Draw 25.93%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Gornik
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, August 4 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, July 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 3-0 Jagiellonia
Saturday, July 22 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Friday, August 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Cracovia
Saturday, August 5 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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