Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Miejski
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'),
Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
40.56% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( -0.01) | 33.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.05) |
| 49.71% ( 0.06) | 50.28% ( -0.06) |
| 27.76% ( 0.06) | 72.23% ( -0.05) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 75.52% ( 0.02) | 24.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.07% ( 0.03) | 58.92% ( -0.03) |
| 71.49% ( 0.05) | 28.51% ( -0.04) |
