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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Ruch Chorzow

Ishak (36'), Velde (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Michalski (7'), Kozak (68')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 28 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-2 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRuch Chorzow
60.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 22.08% (0.0039999999999978 0) 17.85% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)46.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.029999999999998 0.03)69.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.85%
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (0.052 0.05)39.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (0.045999999999999 0.05)76.64% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 60.06%
    Ruch Chorzow 17.85%
    Draw 22.07%
Lech PoznanDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.06%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.58%
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 28 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Rakow
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-2 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-3 Szczecin
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, September 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Stal Mielec
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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