Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
FT(HT: 1-0)
Michalski (7'), Kozak (68')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Ruch Chorzow.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
60.07% ( -0.03) | 22.08% ( 0) | 17.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.04) |
| 53.05% ( 0.03) | 46.95% ( -0.03) |
| 30.8% ( 0.03) | 69.2% ( -0.03) |
| 84.79% ( 0) | 15.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0) | 43.85% |
| 60.01% ( 0.05) | 39.99% ( -0.05) |
