SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
60.07% ( -0.03) | 22.08% ( 0) | 17.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( 0.03) | 46.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.03) | 69.2% ( -0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( 0) | 15.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( 0) | 43.85% |
| Ruch Chorzow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( 0.05) | 39.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( 0.05) | 76.64% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.06% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.85% |
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