SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Lech Poznan |
33.44% ( -0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.01) | 42.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0.03) | 43.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.03) | 65.61% ( -0.03) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0) | 25.14% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0) | 59.85% ( 0) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.03) | 20.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( 0.04) | 53.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.21% |
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