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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 1
Gornik

Pekhart (8'), Strzalek (90+2')
Celhaka (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Musiolik (12')
Dadok (45')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 3-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawGornik Zabrze
64.95% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06) 18.92% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 16.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)35.61% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.33% (-0.106 -0.11)57.67% (0.105 0.11)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)10.32% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)33.76% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.16% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)71.91% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 64.95%
    Gornik Zabrze 16.13%
    Draw 18.92%
Legia WarsawDrawGornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.92%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 16.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Legia 3-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 3-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Midtjylland (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Legia
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, August 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-1 Gornik
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Gornik
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Gornik
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, August 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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