SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
58.24% ( -0.02) | 22.03% ( 0) | 19.73% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.01) | 43.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( 0.01) | 66.29% ( -0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( -0) | 14.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.97% ( -0.01) | 43.03% ( 0.01) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.03) | 36.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( 0.03) | 72.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.23% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.73% |
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