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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
3 - 2
Cracovia

Kapustka (17' pen.), Gual (26'), Urbanski (39')
Pankov (21'), Morishita (67'), Kobylak (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kallman (34'), Maigaard (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-2 Legia
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 3-4 Katowice
Saturday, November 9 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawKS Cracovia
54.65% (-0.596 -0.6) 24.1% (0.296 0.3) 21.25% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.866 -0.87)50.7% (0.858 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.768 -0.77)72.6% (0.762 0.76)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.547 -0.55)18.44% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)49.63% (0.923 0.92)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.193 -0.19)38.46% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.184 -0.18)75.21% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 54.64%
    KS Cracovia 21.25%
    Draw 24.09%
Legia WarsawDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.25%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-2 Legia
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 4-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, November 3 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 4-1 Katowice
Sunday, October 27 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Backa Topola 0-3 Legia
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Legia
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 3-4 Katowice
Saturday, November 9 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Cracovia
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 6-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-2 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 19 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-4 Cracovia
Sunday, October 6 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Stal Mielec
Monday, September 30 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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