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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Dec 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Piast Gliwice
3 - 0
Stal Mielec

Huk (51'), Felix (62'), Kadzior (73')
Huk (31'), Chrapek (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Getinger (19'), Guillaumier (59'), Pajnowski (72'), Stepien (77')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Piast Gliwice and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 Stal Mielec
Saturday, December 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Piast Gliwice would win this match.

Result
Piast GliwiceDrawStal Mielec
58.61% (-0.346 -0.35) 24.31% (0.22 0.22) 17.08% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.61 -0.61)56.67% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.492 -0.49)77.63% (0.491 0.49)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.363 -0.36)19.2% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.601 -0.6)50.89% (0.6 0.6)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31% (-0.204 -0.2)46.69% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.75% (-0.156 -0.16)82.25% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Piast Gliwice 58.6%
    Stal Mielec 17.08%
    Draw 24.3%
Piast GliwiceDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 3-3 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, November 3 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, October 28 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 Stal Mielec
Saturday, December 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 2-3 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-0 Stal Mielec
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-3 Stal Mielec
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznan
Monday, October 23 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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