SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Stal Mielec |
55.31% ( 0.31) | 21.99% ( -0.01) | 22.7% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.3) | 39.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.32) | 62.21% ( 0.32) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.01) | 14.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.8% ( -0.01) | 42.2% ( 0.01) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.42) | 31.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.5) | 67.33% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.7% |
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