Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Gent |
30.83% ( 1.34) | 22.49% ( 0.12) | 46.68% ( -1.46) |
Both teams to score 65.09% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.7% ( 0.22) | 35.29% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.68% ( 0.24) | 57.32% ( -0.24) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( 0.91) | 22.85% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( 1.33) | 56.58% ( -1.33) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( -0.44) | 15.63% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.36% ( -0.81) | 44.64% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Gent |
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.68% |
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