SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
41.38% ( -0.18) | 26.73% ( -0.1) | 31.89% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( 0.47) | 53.94% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( 0.39) | 75.39% ( -0.4) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.12) | 25.7% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.16) | 60.62% ( -0.16) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 0.43) | 31.39% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( 0.5) | 67.76% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.89% |
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