SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Lech Poznan |
29.05% ( -0.06) | 26.36% ( -0.04) | 44.58% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( 0.15) | 53.56% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( 0.12) | 75.07% ( -0.12) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.03) | 33.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( 0.03) | 69.85% ( -0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.12) | 23.92% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( 0.17) | 58.13% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.58% |
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