SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
34.57% ( 0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.15) | 39.69% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( -0.64) | 49.22% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( -0.58) | 71.28% ( 0.58) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.25) | 27.33% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% ( -0.33) | 62.78% ( 0.33) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.41) | 24.45% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( -0.58) | 58.89% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.69% |
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