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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
31.05% ( -0.06) | 23.34% ( 0.05) | 45.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.27) | 39.35% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( -0.28) | 61.69% ( 0.28) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.17) | 24.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.23) | 59.24% ( 0.24) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.1) | 17.6% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( -0.17) | 48.17% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 45.61% |
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