Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 80.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
