SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 80.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 80.77% | 12.54% | 6.69% |
| Both teams to score 47.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.07% | 31.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.95% | 6.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.98% | 23.02% |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.51% | 49.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.7% | 84.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 11.78% 3-0 @ 11.02% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 7.73% 4-1 @ 5.44% 5-0 @ 4.34% 5-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.73% 6-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.91% 6-1 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.79% Total : 80.77% | 1-1 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 2.99% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.73% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.11% 1-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.5% Total : 6.69% |
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