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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.72%) and 3-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
46.66% ( 3.14) | 20.21% ( -0.43) | 33.13% ( -2.72) |
| Both teams to score 75.25% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.31% ( 1.24) | 22.68% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.17% ( 1.66) | 41.83% ( -1.66) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( 1.4) | 10.89% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.95% ( 3.02) | 35.04% ( -3.02) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.54) | 15.54% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.52% ( -1.01) | 44.48% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.28)4-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.22)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.23)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.19)Other @ 4.49% Total : 46.66% | 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.21% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.36)0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.39)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.28)3-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.71% Total : 33.13% |
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