SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
59.89% ( 0.14) | 18.62% ( -0.06) | 21.48% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 70.18% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.2) | 24.88% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.24% ( 0.26) | 44.76% ( -0.27) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( 0.09) | 8.42% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.74% ( 0.22) | 29.25% ( -0.22) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.06) | 23.37% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( 0.09) | 57.34% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.62% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.48% |
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