SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
43.1% ( 0.08) | 21.46% ( 0.01) | 35.44% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 71.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.05) | 28.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.97% ( -0.06) | 49.03% ( 0.07) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( 0.01) | 14.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.18% ( 0.02) | 41.82% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.06) | 17.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.61% ( -0.11) | 47.39% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.44% |
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