SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
26.46% ( 1.53) | 20.19% ( 0.07) | 53.35% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 70.42% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.99% ( 1.18) | 27.01% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.5% ( 1.47) | 47.5% ( -1.47) |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 1.64) | 21.21% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( 2.47) | 54.1% ( -2.47) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( -0.02) | 10.63% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.55% ( -0.07) | 34.45% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.25)1-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.14)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.35% |
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