SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Blackburn Rovers Under-21s |
45.59% ( 0.26) | 21.92% ( -0.09) | 32.5% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.34) | 31.63% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.87% ( 0.4) | 53.13% ( -0.4) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( 0.22) | 14.62% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.28% ( 0.43) | 42.72% ( -0.42) |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( 0.07) | 20.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( 0.11) | 52.44% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Blackburn Rovers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.5% |
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