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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 38.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.38%) and 3-1 (4.76%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
39.21% ( -1.33) | 22.34% ( 0.1) | 38.44% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 68% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.4) | 32.42% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.47) | 54.06% ( 0.47) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0.72) | 17.37% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.22% ( -1.27) | 47.78% ( 1.27) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( 0.36) | 17.7% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( 0.63) | 48.35% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 38.44% |
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