SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
21.34% ( -0.23) | 18.76% ( -0.12) | 59.89% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 69.36% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.29) | 25.78% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.38) | 45.93% ( -0.38) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( 0) | 24.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( 0.01) | 58.29% ( -0.01) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( 0.16) | 8.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.09% ( 0.4) | 29.9% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.82% Total : 59.89% |
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