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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5%) and 0-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
37.49% ( 0.61) | 21.83% ( -0.02) | 40.68% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 70% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.19) | 29.81% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.03% ( 0.23) | 50.97% ( -0.24) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( 0.35) | 16.97% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( 0.61) | 47.07% ( -0.62) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.15) | 15.68% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( -0.27) | 44.74% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 40.68% |
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