Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-23s win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
