Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.