Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
