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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 49%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
49% ( -0.03) | 21.46% ( 0) | 29.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.08% ( -0.02) | 30.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.02) | 52.29% ( 0.02) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( -0.02) | 13.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.01% ( -0.04) | 39.98% ( 0.03) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 0.01) | 21.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( 0.01) | 54.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.54% |
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