SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
44.11% ( -1.97) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 32.83% ( 1.95) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( 0.82) | 37.19% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.61% ( 0.88) | 59.39% ( -0.88) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.44) | 17.34% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.78) | 47.72% ( 0.78) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 1.53) | 22.62% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( 2.22) | 56.24% ( -2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.16)Other @ 4.1% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.83% |
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