SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
46.75% ( 1.34) | 21.19% ( 0.15) | 32.07% ( -1.49) |
| Both teams to score 70.84% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.91% ( -1.41) | 28.09% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.14% ( -1.78) | 48.86% ( 1.77) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.12) | 12.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.69% ( -0.23) | 39.3% ( 0.23) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -1.39) | 18.67% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -2.39) | 50% ( 2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.38)1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.17)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.49% Total : 32.07% |
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