Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 1-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
54.2% ( -0.15) | 21.11% ( 0.04) | 24.69% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 64.9% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.66% ( -0.06) | 33.34% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.89% ( -0.06) | 55.11% ( 0.07) |
Southampton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( -0.06) | 12.49% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.52% ( -0.13) | 38.48% ( 0.13) |
Reading Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% ( 0.06) | 25.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( 0.07) | 60.8% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.69% |
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