Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Leicester City Under-23s had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
