Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Under-23s in this match.
