Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 59.73%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 21.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
59.73%	19.25%	21.01%

Both teams to score 66.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.25%

28.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.33%

49.66%

Crystal Palace Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.4%

9.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.91%

32.08%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.13%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace Under-23s 59.73%

Derby County Under-23s 21.01%

Draw 19.25%

Crystal Palace Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.87% 1-0 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 4.85% 4-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.84% 5-1 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.02% Total : 59.73%	1-1 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 2.5% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.25%	1-2 @ 5.3% 0-1 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-2 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.01%