Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Leicester City Under-23s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Leicester City Under-23s
49.25%	21.93%	28.82%

Both teams to score 65.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.22%

33.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.38%

55.62%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82%

14.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.12%

41.88%

Leicester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7%

23.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.24%

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-23s 49.25%

Leicester City Under-23s 28.82%

Draw 21.93%

Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Leicester City Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-2 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.14% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.25%	1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 6.69% 0-0 @ 3.3% 3-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.93%	1-2 @ 6.85% 0-1 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.82%