Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-23s win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Under-23s would win this match.
