Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 1-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
