Derby U23s
1 - 1
Arsenal U23s

Hutchinson (17')
Aghatise (39'), Hutchinson (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cottrell (63' pen.)
Ideho (41')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Arsenal Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.44%) and 3-1 (5.08%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Arsenal Under-23s
41.55%	22.2%	36.25%

Both teams to score 68.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.12%

31.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.57%

53.43%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8%

16.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31%

45.69%

Arsenal Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56%

18.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39%

49.61%

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-23s 41.55%

Arsenal Under-23s 36.25%

Draw 22.2%

Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Arsenal Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 5.08% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 7.77% 0-1 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.69% 3-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.25%