Leeds U23s
2 - 0
Derby U23s

Miller (29'), Allen (84')
Littlewood (46'), Miller (67'), Klaesson (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Robinson (52'), Grewal-Pollard (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leeds United Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
46.77%	22.01%	31.22%

Both teams to score 67.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.31%

32.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.63%

54.37%

Leeds United Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39%

14.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28%

42.71%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68%

54.32%

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-23s 46.77%

Derby County Under-23s 31.22%

Draw 22.01%

Leeds United Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 6% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-2 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.61% Total : 31.22%