SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 38.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5%) and 2-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
38.47% ( -0.02) | 21.11% ( -0.04) | 40.41% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 73.04% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.2) | 25.97% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.82% ( 0.25) | 46.18% ( -0.25) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.08) | 14.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( 0.14) | 43.26% ( -0.14) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( 0.1) | 14.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.12% ( 0.2) | 41.87% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.41% |
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