Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
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