SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 61.93%. A win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 19.51% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
19.51% ( 0.24) | 18.56% ( 0.2) | 61.93% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 66.93% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.64) | 27.57% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.79% ( -0.8) | 48.2% ( 0.8) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.19) | 26.65% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.25) | 61.89% ( 0.24) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0.28) | 8.75% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.93% ( -0.68) | 30.07% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.56% Total : 19.51% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.52% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.64% Total : 61.93% |
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