SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Tottenham Hotspur Under-23s | 24 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers Under-23s | 26 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace Under-23s | 24 | 1 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Leeds United Under-23s | 26 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Chelsea Under-23s | 25 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Derby County Under-23s | 24 | -20 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 38.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.12%) and 3-1 (5.06%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 41.28% | 20.34% | 38.38% |
| Both teams to score 76.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.98% | 22.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.07% | 40.92% |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% | 12.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.07% | 37.93% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% | 13.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.07% | 39.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% 3-2 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 5.06% 2-0 @ 3.56% 1-0 @ 3.39% 4-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-3 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.71% Total : 41.28% | 2-2 @ 7.31% 1-1 @ 6.87% 3-3 @ 3.46% 0-0 @ 1.61% 4-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 2-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 3.31% 0-1 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.23% 3-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.25% Total : 38.38% |
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