Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
