Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers Under-23s would win this match.
