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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 57.34%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
21.99% ( -1.38) | 20.66% ( -0.73) | 57.34% ( 2.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( 1.8) | 34.37% ( -1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.71% ( 2.01) | 56.28% ( -2.01) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.12) | 28.53% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.15) | 64.32% ( 0.15) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( 1.19) | 11.94% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.69% ( 2.48) | 37.31% ( -2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.32% Total : 21.99% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.16)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.12)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.34% |
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