SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 60.08%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.38% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
21.38% ( -0.63) | 18.53% ( -0.23) | 60.08% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 70.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.3) | 24.6% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.4) | 44.39% ( -0.4) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -0.29) | 23.28% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -0.42) | 57.21% ( 0.42) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.7% ( 0.27) | 8.3% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.05% ( 0.68) | 28.95% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)2-5 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.27% Total : 60.08% |
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