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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
16.29% ( -0.23) | 17.99% ( -0.13) | 65.71% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.37% ( 0.18) | 30.63% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0.22) | 51.94% ( -0.22) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.13) | 31.8% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -0.15) | 68.23% ( 0.15) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( 0.13) | 8.76% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.89% ( 0.31) | 30.1% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 16.29% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.99% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.67% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)1-6 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 65.71% |
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