SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
47.66% ( 0.96) | 23.13% ( 0.03) | 29.21% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.74) | 39.36% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( -0.78) | 61.7% ( 0.78) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( 0.08) | 16.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( 0.14) | 46.79% ( -0.14) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -1) | 25.87% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -1.38) | 60.85% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.21% |
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