SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
20.09% ( 0.17) | 18.45% ( 0.14) | 61.47% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 68.46% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.91% ( -0.45) | 26.1% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.58) | 46.34% ( 0.59) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.14) | 25.24% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.2) | 59.99% ( 0.21) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.57% ( -0.18) | 8.44% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.71% ( -0.47) | 29.29% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.09% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.45% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.47% |
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